Medical Technology

Major COVID-19-related case growth is expected in the coming weeks

According to the most recent forecasting models developed by PolicyLab at Children’s Hospital Philadelphia, the U.S. will experience significant growth in COVID-19 patients over the next four weeks.

Large metropolitan areas, specifically in the Northeast are already seeing an rise in cases after Thanksgiving. This trend is expected to continue.

“Why? Simply put, the huge volume of travel and gatherings weakened the nation’s pandemic footing and has elevated disease burden in the areas that were fortunate enough to have lower incidence rates prior to the holidays,” the forecasters wrote.

The number of cases in New York City are expected to double in December, according to forecasters. Similar growth is possible in Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Boston.

According to to The New York Times the number of COVID-19 deaths hospitalizations, and cases are on the rise in the U.S., but it is not clear what the Omicron variant that has been found in 27 states may affect the trends in the coming weeks.

During the past week, the U.S. has reported an average of more than 120,000 new cases every day, the newspaper reported this week, which is an increase of 38% over two weeks ago.

The average daily COVID-19 hospitalizations varies from 64,000 to 64,000, which is an increase of 22% from two weeks ago. There are more than 1,300 deaths reported every day, which is an increase of 26%

Many states are reporting double the number of cases from two weeks earlier. This includes states in the Northeast such as Connecticut and Rhode Island, as well as states in the south such as Texas and North Carolina.

The Great Lakes region and the Northeast are experiencing some of the largest increases, the newspaper reported. New Hampshire leads the U.S. for the most recent cases per capita, and Maine has reported more cases during the past week than any other period of seven days during the current pandemic.

Michigan has the nation’s highest hospitalization rate and federal medical teams have been dispatched to the state to assist with the influx of patients according to The Detroit News. Michigan’s top health officials declared the increase a “critical” and “deeply worrying” situation on Friday, and they requested 200 more ventilators from the Strategic National Stockpile.

According to USA Today, New York, Maine, and Indiana have all sought assistance from the National Guard.

The Omicron variant may elude some vaccine protections however booster shots can boost effectiveness and provide greater coverage, Anthony Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said Sunday.

He stated, “If you want optimally protected, absolutely buy a booster” on ABC’s ” This Week.”

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul has announced a mandatory mask requirement for the entire state, which will take effect on Monday. The news outlet reported that masks are required in all indoor public spaces and businesses , unless the place is subject to a vaccination requirement.

Sources:

PolicyLab at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia: “COVID-19 Outlook: Preparing for Recovery, Even as U.S. Peak Seasonal Transmission Approaches

The New York Times – “A glimpse of the U.S. Pandemic, in Numbers.”

The Detroit News: “Michigan COVID situation ‘critical’ as state seeks more ventilator health officials.”

USA Today: “National Guard deployed in states afflicted by virus surges; NY Mask mandate: COVID-19 updated.”

ABC News: “Fauci says omicron can evade vaccine protection, but boosters help.”

Content Source: https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/964671?src=rss

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